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Oil rises as China takes steps to support its economy

28.08.2023 10:09  Autor: InvestCentrum  Sekce: Burzovní zpravodajství  Tisk

Oil prices edged up on Monday as China implemented measures to boost its slowing economy. However, concerns about the growth rate and potential U.S. interest rate increases, which might impact fuel demand, still linger among investors.

Brent crude climbed by 19 cents (0.2%) to reach $84.67 per barrel at 0627 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude saw an increase of 26 cents (0.3%) to hit $80.09 per barrel.

Brent and WTI experienced a second week of losses on Friday, following statements from Fed Chair Jerome Powell suggesting that the U.S. central bank might consider additional rate hikes to counter lingering high inflation.

Oil saw positive effects from an improved market sentiment at the opening, noted IG market analyst Tony Sycamore. This was in response to China’s decision to cut stamp duty on stock trading by half, starting Monday, as part of their ongoing efforts to stimulate struggling markets.

„Unfortunately, after last week’s modest (Chinese central bank interest) rate cut, the announcements above amount to another piecemeal measure that won’t alter investor gloom towards China,” commented Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG.

The upcoming release of China’s manufacturing Purchasing Managers‘ Index (PMI) later this week is expected to uncover further bleak economic updates concerning the world’s second-largest economy, Sycamore explained. He added that the PMI is likely to remain in contraction for the fifth consecutive month.

Energy markets received support on Monday from the notion of a gentle economic slowdown in the U.S., as noted by CMC Markets analyst Tina Teng. This was the case despite the Federal Reserve‚s aggressive stance on raising interest rates.

Baker Hughes reported that energy companies in the United States reduced the count of active oil rigs for the ninth consecutive month in August.

Tropical Storm Idalia has emerged in the Caribbean and has the potential to intensify into a hurricane, potentially impacting Florida.

According to IG’s Sycamore, the hurricane is predicted to bypass the oil and gas hubs in the Gulf, with the primary effect likely being a brief period of power disruptions. That “should see some short term support for the oil ”, he said.

Oil prices have maintained a level above $80 per barrel due to the support stemming from decreasing oil inventories and production reductions implemented by the OPEC+ group of oil-producing nations.

Nonetheless, ANZ Research pointed out in a client note on Monday that the perception of supply constraints has been weakened by the potential relaxation of sanctions on Iran and Venezuela. 

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